5. (10 points) (Memorylessness of the Geometric) Suppose you are tossing a coin repeated which comes up heads with chance 1/3. (a) Find an expression for the chance that by time m, heads has not come up. i.e. if X is the first time to see heads, determine P(X > m). (b) Given that heads has not come up by time m, find the chance that it takes at least n more tosses for heads to come up for the first time. I.e. determine P(X> m+ n | X > m). Compare to P(X > m + n). You should find that P(X > m + n | X > m) = P(X> n) - this is known as the memorylessness property of the geometric distribution. The event that you have waited m time without seeing heads does not change the chance of having to wait time n to see heads.

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