The number of flaws in a fiber optic cable follows a Poisson process with an average of 0.6 per 100 feet. a) Find the probability of exactly 2 flaws in a 200- foot cable. b) Find the probability of exactly 1 flaw in the first 100 feet and exactly 1 flaw in the second 100 feet.

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) There is a 21.69% probability of exactly 2 flaws in a 200- foot cable.

b) There is a 10.84% probability of exactly 1 flaw in the first 100 feet and exactly 1 flaw in the second 100 feet.

Step-by-step explanation:

In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by the following formula:

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

In which

x is the number of sucesses

[tex]e = 2.71828[/tex] is the Euler number

[tex]\mu[/tex] is the mean in the given interval.

a) Find the probability of exactly 2 flaws in a 200- foot cable.

Average of 0.6 per 100 feet. So 1.2 per 200 feet.

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 2) = \frac{e^{-1.2}*(1.2)^{2}}{(2)!} = 0.2169[/tex]

There is a 21.69% probability of exactly 2 flaws in a 200- foot cable.

b) Find the probability of exactly 1 flaw in the first 100 feet and exactly 1 flaw in the second 100 feet.

This is [tex]P(X = 1)^{2}[/tex]

So

[tex]P(X = 1) = \frac{e^{-0.6}*(0.6)^{1}}{(1)!} = 0.3293[/tex]

At each 100 feet, there is a 32.93% probability of exactly 1 flaw in each interval of 100 feet. So

[tex]P = (0.3293)^{2} = 0.1084[/tex]

There is a 10.84% probability of exactly 1 flaw in the first 100 feet and exactly 1 flaw in the second 100 feet.