Respuesta :
Answer:
a) [tex] P(X \leq 100) = 1- e^{-0.01342*100} =0.7387[/tex]
[tex] P(X \leq 200) = 1- e^{-0.01342*200} =0.9317[/tex]
[tex] P(100\leq X \leq 200) = [1- e^{-0.01342*200}]-[1- e^{-0.01342*100}] =0.1930[/tex]
b) [tex] P(X>223.547) = 1-P(X\leq 223.547) = 1-[1- e^{-0.01342*223.547}]=0.0498[/tex]
c) [tex] m = \frac{ln(0.5)}{-0.01342}=51.65[/tex]
d) [tex] a = \frac{ln(0.05)}{-0.01342}=223.23[/tex]
Step-by-step explanation:
Previous concepts
The exponential distribution is "the probability distribution of the time between events in a Poisson process (a process in which events occur continuously and independently at a constant average rate). It is a particular case of the gamma distribution". The probability density function is given by:
[tex]P(X=x)=\lambda e^{-\lambda x}[/tex]
Solution to the problem
For this case we have that X is represented by the following distribution:
[tex] X\sim Exp (\lambda=0.01342)[/tex]
Is important to remember that th cumulative distribution for X is given by:
[tex] F(X) =P(X \leq x) = 1-e^{-\lambda x}[/tex]
Part a
For this case we want this probability:
[tex] P(X \leq 100)[/tex]
And using the cumulative distribution function we have this:
[tex] P(X \leq 100) = 1- e^{-0.01342*100} =0.7387[/tex]
[tex] P(X \leq 200) = 1- e^{-0.01342*200} =0.9317[/tex]
[tex] P(100\leq X \leq 200) = [1- e^{-0.01342*200}]-[1- e^{-0.01342*100}] =0.1930[/tex]
Part b
Since we want the probability that the man exceeds the mean by more than 2 deviations
For this case the mean is given by:
[tex] \mu = \frac{1}{\lambda}=\frac{1}{0.01342}= 74.516[/tex]
And by properties the deviation is the same value [tex] \sigma = 74.516[/tex]
So then 2 deviations correspond to 2*74.516=149.03
And the want this probability:
[tex] P(X > 74.516+149.03) = P(X>223.547)[/tex]
And we can find this probability using the complement rule:
[tex] P(X>223.547) = 1-P(X\leq 223.547) = 1-[1- e^{-0.01342*223.547}]=0.0498[/tex]
Part c
For the median we need to find a value of m such that:
[tex] P(X \leq m) = 0.5[/tex]
If we use the cumulative distribution function we got:
[tex] 1-e^{-0.01342 m} =0.5[/tex]
And if we solve for m we got this:
[tex] 0.5 = e^{-0.01342 m}[/tex]
If we apply natural log on both sides we got:
[tex] ln(0.5) = -0.01342 m[/tex]
[tex] m = \frac{ln(0.5)}{-0.01342}=51.65[/tex]
Part d
For this case we have this equation:
[tex] P(X\leq a) = 0.95[/tex]
If we apply the cumulative distribution function we got:
[tex] 1-e^{-0.01342*a} =0.95[/tex]
If w solve for a we can do this:
[tex] 0.05= e^{-0.01342 a}[/tex]
Using natural log on btoh sides we got:
[tex] ln(0.05) = -0.01342 a[/tex]
[tex] a = \frac{ln(0.05)}{-0.01342}=223.23[/tex]