A mechanic sells a brand of automobile tire that has a life expectancy that is normally distributed, with a mean life of 29,000 miles and a standard deviation od 2400 miles. He wants to give a guarantee for free replacement of tires that don't wear weel. How should he work his guarantee if he is willing to replace approximately 10% of the tires?



Tires that wear out by _____ miles will be replaces free of charge. Round to the nearest mile as needed.

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]a=29000 -1.28*2400=25928[/tex]

Tires that wear out by 25928 miles will be replaces free of charge

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

The Z-score is "a numerical measurement used in statistics of a value's relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean".  

Solution to the problem

Let X the random variable that represent the heights of a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(29000,2400)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=29000[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=2400[/tex]

And the best way to solve this problem is using the normal standard distribution and the z score given by:

[tex]z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

He wants to give a guarantee for free replacement of tires that don't wear weel so then we need to find a value a, such that we satisfy this condition:

[tex]P(X>a)=0.90[/tex]   (a)

[tex]P(X<a)=0.10[/tex]   (b)

Because we are interested in the lower tail.

Both conditions are equivalent on this case. We can use the z score again in order to find the value a.  

As we can see on the figure attached the z value that satisfy the condition with 0.10 of the area on the left and 0.90 of the area on the right it's z=-1.28. On this case P(Z<-1.28)=0.10 and P(z>-1.28)=0.90

If we use condition (b) from previous we have this:

[tex]P(X<a)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{a-\mu}{\sigma})=0.1[/tex]  

[tex]P(z<\frac{a-\mu}{\sigma})=0.1[/tex]

But we know which value of z satisfy the previous equation so then we can do this:

[tex]z=-1.28=<\frac{a-29000}{2400}[/tex]

And if we solve for a we got

[tex]a=29000 -1.28*2400=25928[/tex]

So the value of height that separates the bottom 10% of data from the top 90% is 25928 mi.  

Tires that wear out by 25928 miles will be replaces free of charge