The decline of salmon fisheries along the Columbia River in Oregon has caused great concern among commercial and recreational fishermen. The paper 'Feeding of Predaceous Fishes on Out-Migrating Juvenile Salmonids in John Day Reservoir, Columbia River' gave the accompanying data on y = maximum size of salmonids consumed by a northern squaw fish (the most abundant salmonid predator) and x = squawfish length, both in mm. Here is the computer software printout of the summary:

Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(> |t|)
(Intercept) -89.010 16.702 -5.329 0.000
Length 0.740 0.047 15.678 0.000

Using this information, compute a 95% confidence interval for the slope.

Respuesta :

Answer:

The estimation for the slope on this case is [tex] \hat m = 0.740[/tex]

And the associated standard error is [tex] SE_{m}= 0.047[/tex]

For the critical value we need to find the degrees of freedom given by:

Since we don't have the sample size we can assume it large enough to consider the normal approximation to the t distribution and on this case the critical value for 95% of confidence would be [tex] t_{\alpha/2} =1.96[/tex]

[tex] 0.740 -1.96*0.047= 0.648[/tex]

[tex] 0.740 +1.96*0.047= 0.832[/tex]

The confidence interval would be between (0.648, 0.832)

Step-by-step explanation:

We are assuming that the estimation was using the least squares method

For this case we need to calculate the slope with the following formula:

[tex]m=\frac{S_{xy}}{S_{xx}}[/tex]

Where:

[tex]S_{xy}=\sum_{i=1}^n x_i y_i -\frac{(\sum_{i=1}^n x_i)(\sum_{i=1}^n y_i)}{n}[/tex]

[tex]S_{xx}=\sum_{i=1}^n x^2_i -\frac{(\sum_{i=1}^n x_i)^2}{n}[/tex]

Nowe we can find the means for x and y like this:

[tex]\bar x= \frac{\sum x_i}{n}=\frac{720}{12}=60[/tex]

[tex]\bar y= \frac{\sum y_i}{n}=\frac{324}{12}=27[/tex]

And we can find the intercept using this:

[tex]b=\bar y -m \bar x [/tex]

The confidence interval for this case is given by this formula:

[tex] \hat m \pm t SE_{m}[/tex]

The estimation for the slope on this case is [tex] \hat m = 0.740[/tex]

And the associated standard error is [tex] SE_{m}= 0.047[/tex]

For the critical value we need to find the degrees of freedom given by:

Since we don't have the sample size we can assume it large enough to consider the normal approximation to the t distribution and on this case the critical value for 95% of confidence would be [tex] t_{\alpha/2} =1.96[/tex]

And replacing we got:

[tex] 0.740 -1.96*0.047= 0.648[/tex]

[tex] 0.740 +1.96*0.047= 0.832[/tex]

The confidence interval would be between (0.648, 0.832)