Respuesta :
Answer:
a) [tex]0.436 - 1.64\sqrt{\frac{0.436(1-0.436)}{525}}=0.400[/tex]
[tex]0.436 + 1.64\sqrt{\frac{0.436(1-0.436)}{525}}=0.472[/tex]
The 90% confidence interval would be given by (0.400;0.472)
b) We are confident at 90% that the true proportion of female in the Labor Force is between 0.400 and 0.472
c) Null hypothesis:[tex]p\geq 0.48[/tex] Â
Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p < 0.48[/tex] Â
For this case since the upper limit of the confidence interval is lower than 0.48 (0.472<0.48) we can conclude that the true proportion of female is actually lower than 0.48 or 48% at 10% of signficance.
Step-by-step explanation:
Part a
A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval". Â
The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval. Â
Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean". Â
The population proportion have the following distribution
[tex]p \sim N(p,\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}})[/tex]
In order to find the critical value we need to take in count that we are finding the interval for a proportion, so on this case we need to use the z distribution. Since our interval is at 90% of confidence, our significance level would be given by [tex]\alpha=1-0.90=0.1[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.05[/tex]. And the critical value would be given by:
[tex]z_{\alpha/2}=-1.64, z_{1-\alpha/2}=1.64[/tex]
The estimated proportion for female is [tex]\hat p = \frac{229}{525}= 0.436[/tex]
The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula: Â
[tex]\hat p \pm z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\frac{\hat p (1-\hat p)}{n}}[/tex]
If we replace the values obtained we got:
[tex]0.436 - 1.64\sqrt{\frac{0.436(1-0.436)}{525}}=0.400[/tex]
[tex]0.436 + 1.64\sqrt{\frac{0.436(1-0.436)}{525}}=0.472[/tex]
The 90% confidence interval would be given by (0.400;0.472)
Part b
We are confident at 90% that the true proportion of female in the Labor Force is between 0.400 and 0.472
Part c
We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to test the claim that the true proportion is lower than 0.48: Â
Null hypothesis:[tex]p\geq 0.48[/tex] Â
Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p < 0.48[/tex] Â
For this case since the upper limit of the confidence interval is lower than 0.48 (0.472<0.48) we can conclude that the true proportion of female is actually lower than 0.48 or 48% at 10% of signficance.