Respuesta :
Answer:
a) For this case we can check if we can use the normal approximation with these two conditions:
1) np = 80*0.475 = 38>10
2) n(1-p)=80*(1-0.475)= 42>10
So then we have the conditions to apply the z test
b) [tex]\hat p=\frac{38}{80}=0.475[/tex] estimated proportion of people with good health
c) [tex]z=\frac{0.475 -0.6}{\sqrt{\frac{0.6(1-0.6)}{80}}}=-2.28[/tex]
d) [tex]p_v =P(z<-2.28)=0.011[/tex]
e) So the p value obtained was a very low value and using the significance level given [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] we have [tex]p_v<\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis
f) d. there is sufficient evidence to conclude the water quality in the area has decreased.
Reason : We reject the null hypothesis
Step-by-step explanation:
Data given and notation
n=80 represent the random sample taken
X=38 represent the people with good health
[tex]\hat p=\frac{38}{80}=0.475[/tex] estimated proportion of people with good health
[tex]p_o=0.6[/tex] is the value that we want to test
[tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] represent the significance level
Confidence=95% or 0.95
z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)
[tex]p_v[/tex] represent the p value (variable of interest)
Part a
For this case we can check if we can use the normal approximation with these two conditions:
1) np = 80*0.475 = 38>10
2) n(1-p)=80*(1-0.475)= 42>10
So then we have the conditions to apply the z test
Part b
[tex]\hat p=\frac{38}{80}=0.475[/tex] estimated proportion of people with good health
Part c
We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to test the claim that the true proportion is loer than 0.6.:
Null hypothesis:[tex]p \geq 0.6[/tex]
Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p < 0.6[/tex]
When we conduct a proportion test we need to use the z statisitc, and the is given by:
[tex]z=\frac{\hat p -p_o}{\sqrt{\frac{p_o (1-p_o)}{n}}}[/tex] (1)
The One-Sample Proportion Test is used to assess whether a population proportion [tex]\hat p[/tex] is significantly different from a hypothesized value [tex]p_o[/tex].
Part c: Calculate the statistic
Since we have all the info requires we can replace in formula (1) like this:
[tex]z=\frac{0.475 -0.6}{\sqrt{\frac{0.6(1-0.6)}{80}}}=-2.28[/tex]
Statistical decision
It's important to refresh the p value method or p value approach . "This method is about determining "likely" or "unlikely" by determining the probability assuming the null hypothesis were true of observing a more extreme test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis than the one observed". Or in other words is just a method to have an statistical decision to fail to reject or reject the null hypothesis.
Part d
The significance level provided [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex]. The next step would be calculate the p value for this test.
Since is a left tailed test the p value would be:
[tex]p_v =P(z<-2.28)=0.011[/tex]
Part e
So the p value obtained was a very low value and using the significance level given [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] we have [tex]p_v<\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis
Part f
d. there is sufficient evidence to conclude the water quality in the area has decreased.
Reason : We reject the null hypothesis