The mean salary of people living in a certain city is $37,500 with a standard deviation of $2,119. A sample of n people will be selected at random from those living in the city. Find the smallest sample size n that will guarantee at least a 90% chance of the sample mean income being within $500 of the population mean income.

Respuesta :

Answer:

The smallest sample size needed is 49.

Step-by-step explanation:

We have that to find our [tex]\alpha[/tex] level, that is the subtraction of 1 by the confidence interval divided by 2. So:

[tex]\alpha = \frac{1-0.9}{2} = 0.05[/tex]

Now, we have to find z in the Ztable as such z has a pvalue of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex].

So it is z with a pvalue of [tex]1-0.05 = 0.95[/tex], so [tex]z = 1.645[/tex]

Now, find the margin of error M as such

[tex]M = z*\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex]

In which [tex]\sigma[/tex] is the standard deviation of the population and n is the size of the sample.

Find the smallest sample size n that will guarantee at least a 90% chance of the sample mean income being within $500 of the population mean income.

This is n for which [tex]M = 500, \sigma = 2119[/tex]

So

[tex]M = z*\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex]

[tex]500 = 1.645*\frac{2119}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex]

[tex]500\sqrt{n} = 1.645*2119[/tex]

[tex]\sqrt{n} = \frac{1.645*2119}{500}[/tex]

[tex](\sqrt{n})^{2} = (\frac{1.645*2119}{500})^{2}[/tex]

[tex]n = 48.6[/tex]

Rounding up

The smallest sample size needed is 49.

Answer:

[tex]n=(\frac{1.640(2119)}{500})^2 =48.31 \approx 49[/tex]

So the answer for this case would be n=49 rounded up to the nearest integer

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval".

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

[tex]\bar X=37500[/tex] represent the sample mean for the sample  

[tex]\mu[/tex] population mean (variable of interest)

[tex]\sigma=2119[/tex] represent the sample standard deviation

n represent the sample size  

Solution to the problem

The margin of error is given by this formula:

[tex] ME=z_{\alpha/2}\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex]    (a)

And on this case we have that ME =500 and we are interested in order to find the value of n, if we solve n from equation (a) we got:

[tex]n=(\frac{z_{\alpha/2} \sigma}{ME})^2[/tex]   (b)

The critical value for 90% of confidence interval now can be founded using the normal distribution. And in excel we can use this formla to find it:"=-NORM.INV(0.05;0;1)", and we got [tex]z_{\alpha/2}=1.640[/tex], replacing into formula (b) we got:

[tex]n=(\frac{1.640(2119)}{500})^2 =48.31 \approx 49[/tex]

So the answer for this case would be n=49 rounded up to the nearest integer