7. Defects in poured metal caused by contamination follows a Poisson distribution with average number of occurrences being 2 per cubic millimeter. What is the probability that there will be at least three defects in a randomly selected cubic millimeter of this metal

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]P(x\geq 3)=0.3233[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

If the number of defects in poured metal follows a Poisson distribution, the probability that x defects occurs is:

[tex]P(x)=\frac{e^{-m}*(m)^{x}}{x!}[/tex]

Where x is bigger or equal to zero and m is the average. So replacing m by 2, we get that the probability is equal to:

[tex]P(x)=\frac{e^{-2}*(2)^{x}}{x!}[/tex]

Finally, the probability that there will be at least three defects in a randomly selected cubic millimeter of this metal is equal to:

[tex]P(x\geq 3)=1-p(x\leq 2)\\[/tex]

Where [tex]P(x\leq 2)=P(0)+P(1)+P(2)[/tex]

So, P(0), P(1) and P(2) are equal to:

[tex]P(0)=\frac{e^{-2}*(2)^{0}}{0!}=0.1353\\P(1)=\frac{e^{-2}*(2)^{1}}{1!}=0.2707\\P(2)=\frac{e^{-2}*(2)^{2}}{2!}=0.2707[/tex]

Finally, [tex]P(x\leq2)[/tex] and [tex]P(x\geq3)[/tex] are equal to:

[tex]P(x\leq 2)=0.1353+0.2707+0.2707=0.6767\\P(x\geq 3)=1-0.6767=0.3233[/tex]