In a random sample of 400 residents of Boston, 320 residents indicated that they voted for Obama in the last presidential election. Develop a 95% confidence interval estimate for the proportion of all Boston residents who voted for Obama.

Respuesta :

Answer:

C.I =  0.7608   ≤ p ≤   0.8392

Step-by-step explanation:

Given that:

Let consider a  random sample n = 400 candidates where  320 residents indicated that they voted for Obama

probability [tex]\hat p = \dfrac{320}{400}[/tex]

= 0.8

Level of significance ∝ = 100 -95%

= 5%

= 0.05

The objective is to  develop a 95% confidence interval estimate for the proportion of all Boston residents who voted for Obama.

The confidence internal can be computed as:

[tex]=\hat p \pm Z_{\alpha/2} \sqrt{\dfrac{ p(1-p)}{n } }[/tex]

where;

[tex]Z_{0.05/2}[/tex] = [tex]Z_{0.025}[/tex] = 1.960

SO;

[tex]=0.8 \pm 1.960 \sqrt{\dfrac{ 0.8(1-0.8)}{400 } }[/tex]

[tex]=0.8 \pm 1.960 \sqrt{\dfrac{ 0.8(0.2)}{400 } }[/tex]

[tex]=0.8 \pm 1.960 \sqrt{\dfrac{ 0.16}{400 } }[/tex]

[tex]=0.8 \pm 1.960 \sqrt{4 \times 10^{-4}}[/tex]

[tex]=0.8 \pm 1.960 \times 0.02}[/tex]

[tex]=0.8 \pm 0.0392[/tex]

= 0.8 - 0.0392     OR   0.8 + 0.0392  

= 0.7608    OR    0.8392

Thus; C.I =  0.7608   ≤ p ≤   0.8392