An employer has a staff of eighty actuaries, ten of whom are student actuaries. A student actuary is allowed a total of ten weeks off per year (52 weeks in a year) for studying, vacation, and sick days. A non-student actuary is given four weeks off a year. It is assumed that all actuaries use all of the weeks off allocated to them. The actuary Mr. Taylor is at work today. What is the probability that he is a student?

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ajeigbeibraheem ajeigbeibraheem · Answer 1 · 2021-06-22T04:30:14+02:00

Answer:

0.1111

Step-by-step explanation:

From the given information;

Number of staffs in the actuary = 80

Out of the 80, 10 are students.

i.e.

P(student actuary) = 10/80 = 0.125

number of weeks in a year = 52

off time per year = 10/52 = 0.1923

P(at work || student actuary) = (50 -10/52)

= 42/52

= 0.8077

P(non student actuary) = (80 -10)/80

= 70 / 80

= 0.875

For a non-student, they are only eligible to 4 weeks off in a year

i.e.

P(at work | non student) = (52-4)/52

= 48/52

= 0.9231

∴

P(at work) = P(student actuary) × P(at work || student actuary) + P(non student actuary) × P(at work || non studnet actuary)

P(at work) = (0.125 × 0.8077) + ( 0.875 × 0.9231)

P(at work) = 0.1009625 + 0.8077125

P(at work) = 0.90868

Finally, the P(he is a student) = (P(student actuary) × P(at work || student actuary) ) ÷ P(at work)

P(he is a student) = (0.125 × 0.8077) ÷ 0.90868

P(he is a student) = 0.1009625 ÷ 0.90868

P(he is a student) = 0.1111