While eating your yummy pizza, you observe that the number of customers arriving to the pizza station follows a Poisson distribution with a rate of 18 customers per hour. What is the probability that more than 4 customers arrive in a 10 minute interval

Respuesta :

Answer:

0.1848 = 18.48% probability that more than 4 customers arrive in a 10 minute interval.

Step-by-step explanation:

In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by the following formula:

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

In which

x is the number of sucesses

e = 2.71828 is the Euler number

[tex]\mu[/tex] is the mean in the given interval.

Rate of 18 customers per hour.

This is [tex]\mu = 18n[/tex], in which n is the number of hours.

10 minute interval:

An hour has 60 minutes, so this means that [tex]n = \frac{10}{60} = \frac{1}{6}[/tex], and thus [tex]\mu = 18\frac{1}{6} = 3[/tex]

What is the probability that more than 4 customers arrive in a 10 minute interval?

This is:

[tex]P(X > 4) = 1 - P(X \leq 4)[/tex]

In which:

[tex]P(X \leq 4) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)[/tex]

Then

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 0) = \frac{e^{-3}*3^{0}}{(0)!} = 0.0498[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 1) = \frac{e^{-3}*3^{1}}{(1)!} = 0.1494[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 2) = \frac{e^{-3}*3^{2}}{(2)!} = 0.2240[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 3) = \frac{e^{-3}*3^{3}}{(3)!} = 0.2240[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 4) = \frac{e^{-3}*3^{4}}{(4)!} = 0.1680[/tex]

[tex]P(X \leq 4) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)[/tex] = 0.0498 + 0.1494 + 0.2240 + 0.2240 + 0.1680 = 0.8152[/tex]

And

[tex]P(X > 4) = 1 - P(X \leq 4) = 1 - 0.8152 = 0.1848[/tex]

0.1848 = 18.48% probability that more than 4 customers arrive in a 10 minute interval.