Respuesta :
Answer:
0.0286 = 2.86% probability that today is Monday.
Step-by-step explanation:
Conditional Probability
We use the conditional probability formula to solve this question. It is
[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}[/tex]
In which
P(B|A) is the probability of event B happening, given that A happened.
[tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex] is the probability of both A and B happening.
P(A) is the probability of A happening.
In this question:
Event A: Dressed correctly
Event B: Monday
Probability of being dressed correctly:
100% = 1 out of 4/7(mom dresses).
(0.5)^3 = 0.125 out of 3/7(toddler dresses himself). So
[tex]P(A) = 0.125\frac{3}{7} + \frac{4}{7} = \frac{0.125*3 + 4}{7} = \frac{4.375}{7} = 0.625[/tex]
Probability of being dressed correctly and being Monday:
The toddler dresses himself on Monday, so (0.5)^3 = 0.125 probability of him being dressed correctly, 1/7 probability of being Monday, so:
[tex]P(A \cap B) = 0.125\frac{1}{7} = 0.0179[/tex]
What is the probability that today is Monday?
[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} = \frac{0.0179}{0.625} = 0.0286[/tex]
0.0286 = 2.86% probability that today is Monday.
