What caused the literary digest to incorrectly predict that alfred landon would beat franklin roosevelt in the 1936 presidential election?

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22-07-2022
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What caused the literary digest to incorrectly predict that alfred landon would beat franklin roosevelt in the 1936 presidential election?

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MubeenaD MubeenaD · Answer 1 · 2022-07-27T08:36:23+02:00

Its predictions were based on an unscientific straw poll, that caused the literary digest to incorrectly predict that Alfred Landon would beat franklin Roosevelt in the 1936 presidential election.

Alf Landon, a Republican, was projected by The Literary Digest to defeat incumbent Democratic President Franklin Delano Roosevelt by a sizable majority in 1936.

This is on par with the worst polling blunder ever. It was also extremely well-known because it was a survey for the presidential election.

Landon lost to Roosevelt by a margin that was closer to a comfortable victory. Not only did The Literary Digest misjudge the outcome, but the survey was also wildly inaccurate.

The Literary Digest survey is well-known in the polling history books.

Before going any further, it is crucial to emphasize that this was not done on purpose.

The pollsters did not want their data to be used to deceive anyone. Unfortunately, the polling firms really weren't that good.

To learn more about Alfred Landon here

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