uppose that the proportion of defective items in a large lot is 10 percent. what is the smallest random sample of items that must be taken from the lot in order for the probability to be at least 99 percent that the proportion of defective items in the sample is less than 13 percent?

Respuesta :

Using Central Limit Theorem,

the smallest possible value of sample size , n is 452...

let Xi = 1 if item is defective or

Xi = 0 if item is not defective

Now, Xn- hat = 1/n ∑Xᵢ= sample proportion for defective items

we have to calculate smallest value of n we require P( Xn- hat <0.13 ) > 0.99

we have,. E(Xᵢ) = μ = 0.1 and variance (Xᵢ)

= (.1 ) (1 - 0.1) =( 0.1) (0.9) = σ²

Since, Xi are Bernoulli random variables

According to limit theorem ,

Z = (X- hat - u) √n/ sd ~ N(1;0) approximately when n is large

Therefore,

P ( Xₙ -hat < 0.13)

=> P (( Xₙ-hat - u)√n / sd < (0.13 - 0.1 )√n/ √0.09 )

=> P( Z < 0.03 √n/0.03 ) where Z~N(1;0)

=> P( Z< √n/10)

i.e f( √n/10 > f(2.32 ) = 0.99

=> n/ 100 > (2.32)²

=> n = (2.32)²× 100

=> n > 541.02 ~ 542

Thus, smallest possible value is 542..

To learn more about Center limit theorem, refer:

https://brainly.com/question/14099217

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