Let X denote the distance (m) that an animal moves from its birth site to the first territorial vacancy it encounters. Suppose that for banner-tailed kangaroo rats, X has an exponential distribution with parameter λ = .01386(as suggested in the article "Competition and Dispersal from Multiple Nests," Ecology, 1997: 873–883).
a. What is the probability that the distance is at most 100 m? At most 200 m? Between 100 and 200 m?
b. What is the probability that distance exceeds the mean distance by more than 2 standard deviations?
c. What is the value of the median distance?

Respuesta :

The solutions and probabilities are,

(a)

P(X < 100) = 0.748

P(X < 200) = 0.936

P(100 < X < 200) = 0.188

(b) P(X > M+2σ) = 0.0498

(c) Median = 50.01 m

Given data,

Let X denote the distance (m) that an animal moves from its birth site to the first territorial vacancy it encounters. Suppose that for banner-tailed kangaroo rats, X has an exponential distribution with parameter,

λ = 0.01386

[tex]F(x) = 1 - e^-^λ^x[/tex]

(a)

The probability that the distance is at most 100 m is,

[tex]F(100) = 1 - e^-^0^.^0^1^3^8^*^1^0^0[/tex] = 0.748

The probability that the distance is at most 200 m is,

[tex]F(200) = 1 - e^-^0^.^0^1^3^8^*^2^0^0[/tex] = 0.936

The probability that the distance is between 100 and 200 m is,

F(200) - F(100) = 0.936 - 0.748 = 0.188

(b)

The probability that distance exceeds the mean distance by more than 2 standard deviations

Mean, μ = 1/λ = 1/0.01386 = 72.1501

Standard deviation, σ = 1/λ = 72.1501

Value more than 2 SD from mean = µ + 2*σ

                                                        = 72.1501 + 2*72.1501 = 216.4503

Probability of greater than 216.4503,

P(X > 216.4503) = e^(-0.0139 * 216.4503)

                          = 0.0498

(c)

The value of the median distance is,

Median = ln(2) / λ

             = ln(2) / 0.0138 = 50.01

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