Hindsight bias and overconfidence often lead us to rely
too much on intuition and common
sense. a scientific attitude can more reliably help us answer questions about
psychological phenomena.
Hindsight bias refers to the phenomenon when people perceive
events that have already occurred as being more predictable that they objectively are. Hindsight bias is best
avoided in scientific research since it can lead to memory distortions,
irrational thinking and overconfidence in one’s beliefs.
