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At the beginning of the school year, groups of college students were asked to predict a variety of their own social behaviors (e.g., calling their parents, voting in an election). the students reported being 84 percent certain in their self-predictions. however, they correctly predicted their own behavior only 71 percent of the time. this result reflects a flaw in thinking called:

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The answer is overconfidence
Overconfidence refers to the excessive confidence without actually backed by necessary skills/credentials.
This type of attitude makes us more likely unable to identify legitimate threats in our lives and provide us with a false sense of security that could actually prevent us from achieving our goal.

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