An airline has 82% of its flights depart on schedule. It has 65% of its flights depart and arrive on schedule. Find the probability that a flight that departs on schedule also arrives on schedule. Round the decimal to two places.

Respuesta :

6.5 out of every 10 flights 65 out of every 100 flights ratio of 6.5 to 10

This question is a case of conditional probability and thus it can be solved by the use of the formula:

[tex] P(B|A)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)} [/tex]

Now, in our case, let A be the event that a flight departs on schedule and let B be the event that a flight arrives on schedule.

Thus, from the given data, we know that: [tex] P(A) = 0.82 [/tex] and [tex] P(A \cap B) = 0.65 [/tex]

Thus, the conditional probability that a flight that departs on schedule also arrives on schedule will be:

[tex] P(B | A) =\frac{ P(B \cap A)}{P(A)}=\frac{0.65}{0.82}\approx0.7927 [/tex]

Therefore, when expressed as a percentage, rounded to two places of decimal, the required probability is 79.27%.