Respuesta :
Answer:
A.) - 2.6
B.) 0.4
Explanation:
Ticket price = $3
Winning price = $200
Probability of winning(Pwin) = (1/500)
Probability of not winning (Ploss) = [ 1 - (1/500)] = 499/500
Net income if Raul wins (Nwin) = $200 - $3 = $197(no refund)
Net loss if Raul does not win(Nloss) = - $3
A.) Expected value is calculated by;
(Pwin × Nwin) + (Ploss × Nloss)
((1/500) × 197) + ((499/500) × - 3)
0.394 - 2.994 = - 2.6
B.) Fair Value is calculated by;
Cost of ticket + Expected value
3 - 2.6 = 0.4
Expected value of a ticket and Fair price of a ticket is -$2.6 and $0.4
Given that;
Number of ticket sold = 500
Cost of each ticket = $3
Prize = $200
Find:
Expected value of a ticket
Fair price of a ticket
Computation:
Expected value = [$200 - $3](1/500) - 3(499/500)
Expected value = [$197](1/500) - 3(499/500)
Expected value = [$0.394] - [$2.994]
Expected value = -$2.6
Fair price of a ticket = ($200 - x)(1/500) = x(499/500)
Fair price of a ticket = $200 - x = 499x
Fair price of a ticket = $200 = 500x
Fair price of a ticket = $0.4
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