Predictive bias is not a flaw in commonsense thinking.
Critical thinking illustrates why people should NOT rely on their intuition and common sense when trying to explain why people act, think, and feel the way they do. Citical thinking refers to analizing information in order to make better judgements or decisions. To think critically one must use logic and reason rather than instinct
Hindsight bias refers to the tendency of an individual to perceive that an event that has already occurred was more predictable than it was before the event took place. As a result after the event has occurred, the individual believes that the event could have been predicted with high degree of certainty.
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